Cash Flow Forecasts
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Liquidity

Money, Money, Money

When studying finance, it's helpful to stop talking about just money and start talking about the three different types of money - cash, profit & capital.
  • Cash refers to any money the business has to hand immediately (e.g. sitting in a bank account or in the office safe) that can be spent right away on paying bills and debts etc)
  • Profit refers to the income of the business after it has paid its costs. It's what the business 'makes.' We will look more at this when we consider the profit & loss account.
  • Capital is the money that owners invest in the business. You could say that they 'lend' the business money. This will be looked at further in the balance sheet.

Cash

Perhaps the most important type of money is cash. Without it, the business cannot pay its debts and could be forced into insolvency.

Sole traders and partnerships can be declared bankrupt. The owners may have to sell the assets of the business. Because they have unlimited liability they are personally responsible for the debts of the business and may have to use more of their own money to pay off the debts.

Limited companies can go into liquidation. The assets of the company can be sold to pay debts and the shareholders may lose their investments. Because they have limited liability, shareholders will not lose any more than the money they used to buy shares.

During the 1992 recession about 60,000 businesses failed (over 1,000 a week). This figure is usually lower as businesses find it harder to operate in a recession, a time when consumer demand for goods and services is low.

Lack of cash or liquidity is a common cause of business failure


The Cash Cycle

A good way of understanding why businesses fail is to consider the way cash flows in a business.

If you were to start making a product, you would have to spend money on the raw materials, wages, rent etc before you sold the product. Your payments would come before you received money. There are plenty of strategies that a business could follow such as selling shares, borrowing money etc, but you can see that this cash cycle could leave a business weak for a period of time.

Imagine your business owed money to the bank for a loan it took out to buy a van. What would happen if the bank demanded payment whilst you were making your product and you hadn't been able to sell it yet? It's possible that your business could be declared insolvent and would fail. Your product could have been the most impressive thing since sliced bread, it could have been an invention that would have been a top-seller for years and made you a millionaire but if you can't pay your debts, you risk failure.


Cash Flow Forecasting

Businesses need liquidity. They need to know that they have cash available at any point in time to handle debt-payment and emergencies. A common method of achieving this is to create a cash flow forecast. This will predict how much cash a business will have each month. It can use this to ensure it does not run the risk of having too little cash available and failing.

Although a cash flow forecast isn't a formal accounting document, it is often produced as a method of financial planning. It can be shown to banks and potential shareholders. If the business can demonstrate that it has anticipated future problems and has made plans to deal with them, it is more likely to persuade people to lend it money or invest in it. Would you want to invest in a business that was likely to fail next month?


Too Much Cash?

Is it possible to have too much cash? Yes. It is very important to have enough cash but large amounts of cash simply sitting in a bank account could be put to good use. Interest earned from bank accounts is at usually quite a low rate. Investing in new technology, employing more staff or an advertising campaign could produce more profit for the business.

We shall look at this idea of 'how much is too much and how much is not enough?' when we look at the current and acid test ratios in our work on the balance sheet.


 
 
     
Liquidity | Net Cash Flow | Challenges